Waalwijkvs
Jong PSV U21
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Waalwijk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Waalwijk 2-2 Jong PSV U21
Original prediction
Waalwijk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 54.7% | 42.6% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 22.5% | 25.1% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.07 | 22.8% | 32.3% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Waalwijk
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Waalwijk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60