Waalwijkvs
FC Volendam
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 10/18/2026, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Waalwijk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Waalwijk 1-1 FC Volendam
Original prediction
Waalwijk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 46.7% | 46.0% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 24.2% | 19.8% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.18 | 29.1% | 34.2% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Waalwijk
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Waalwijk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40