GGOALVIO

Algeria · Ligue 2 · 10/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RC Kouba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

WA Mostaganem 0-0 RC Kouba

Original prediction

RC Kouba

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.5225.3%28.0%2.7 pts
Draw2.8531.2%29.6%-1.6 pts
Away2.0543.5%42.3%-1.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.0–210%

Predicted outcome

RC Kouba

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

RC Kouba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WA MostaganemDWLDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RC KoubaWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
WA MostaganemRC Kouba
58.3Attack91.7
41.7Defence91.7
41.7Form100.0
48.8Power93.6
1.00xG1.69
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