Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 12:35
Vysoké Mýto

Vysoké Mýto

Home
23
Full time
Pardubice II

Pardubice II

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Pardubice II33%
Vysoké Mýto33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Vysoké Mýto
33%
Draw
33%
Pardubice II
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.42 xG for Vysoké Mýto and 1.51 xG for Pardubice II — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Vysoké Mýto holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.Both sides have shown consistent scoring form recently — Vysoké Mýto finding the net in 9 of 10 matches and Pardubice II in 9 of 10. That scoring reliability aligns with the xG projection and strengthens the BTTS case.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.93 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Pardubice II)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Pardubice II)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Pardubice IIPardubice II
D

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Vysoké Mýto33%
Draw33%
Pardubice II33%

Pardubice II leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Vysoké Mýto vs Pardubice II: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Vysoké Mýto host Pardubice II in Friendlies Clubs. Vysoké Mýto have recorded WWWWLW in recent matches while Pardubice II arrive with a run of LWLWWW.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.42 for Vysoké Mýto and 1.51 for Pardubice II. The gap of 0.92 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 5 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Vysoké Mýto have been conceding 1.96 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Pardubice II

Pardubice II

D
@ Benátky nad Jizerou
17 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Vysoké Mýto vs Pardubice II?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Vysoké Mýto vs Pardubice II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Vysoké Mýto vs Pardubice II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vysoké Mýto vs Pardubice II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more