Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Häcken W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (14%), 0-4 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Växjö W 1-2 Häcken W
Original prediction
Häcken W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 22.43 | 4.1% | 3.3% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 9.89 | 9.2% | 8.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.05 | 86.7% | 88.7% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–314%
- 2.0–413%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Häcken W
Probability
88.7%
Model confidence
88.7%
Häcken W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Växjö WLLLWD
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Häcken WWWLWL
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
Växjö WHäcken W
36.4Attack100.0
33.3Defence80.3
27.3Form92.4
34.0Power87.5
0.57xG3.54