Växjö Norravs
Oskarshamns AIK
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oskarshamns AIK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Växjö Norra 4-1 Oskarshamns AIK
Original prediction
Oskarshamns AIK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 30.1% | 21.9% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.8% | 19.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.1% | 58.2% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Oskarshamns AIK
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Oskarshamns AIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00