Växjö Norravs
Karlshamn
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Växjö Norra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Växjö Norra 0-2 Karlshamn
Original prediction
Växjö Norra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.8% | 76.2% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.11 | 17.8% | 14.5% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 7.35 | 12.4% | 9.3% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Växjö Norra
Probability
76.2%
Model confidence
76.2%
Växjö Norra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40