Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Emmen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
VVV Venlo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Emmen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Emmen hold a 48.3-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Eerste Divisie, while Emmen holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Emmen
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
12.0%
Emmen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60