VVV Venlovs
De Graafschap
SCHEDULEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/23/2026, 2:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VVV Venlo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
VVV Venlo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while De Graafschap are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and de Graafschap hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Eerste Divisie, favouring VVV Venlo with 11.9% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VVV Venlo
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
11.9%
VVV Venlo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60