GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/23/2026, 2:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

VVV Venlo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

VVV Venlo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while De Graafschap are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and de Graafschap hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Eerste Divisie, favouring VVV Venlo with 11.9% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

VVV Venlo

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

11.9%

VVV Venlo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VVV VenloLWLDL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
De GraafschapDDLLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
VVV VenloDe Graafschap
100.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
32.0Power45.3
1.60xG1.51
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