Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vushtrria · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vushtrria 0-4 Llapi
Original prediction
Vushtrria
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 30.9% | 36.3% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.5% | 27.4% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.6% | 36.3% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Vushtrria
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Vushtrria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VushtrriaLLLLW
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LlapiLLLLD
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VushtrriaLlapi
16.7Attack33.3
16.7Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
14.9Power16.2
1.40xG1.30