Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gjilani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vushtrria 1-0 Gjilani
Original prediction
Gjilani
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.81 | 11.6% | 17.0% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 19.6% | 22.8% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 68.8% | 60.2% | -8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Gjilani
Probability
60.2%
Model confidence
60.2%
Gjilani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VushtrriaLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
GjilaniWLDWL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VushtrriaGjilani
14.3Attack47.6
4.8Defence61.9
0.0Form52.4
11.8Power55.6
0.71xG1.93