Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Drita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vushtrria 0-1 Drita
Original prediction
Drita
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.13 | 14.6% | 26.7% | 12.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.36 | 20.6% | 25.4% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 1.39 | 64.8% | 47.9% | -16.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Drita
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Drita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VushtrriaLLWWW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DritaDDWWW
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VushtrriaDrita
33.3Attack100.0
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form100.0
14.3Power72.0
1.27xG1.74