Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ballkani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Vushtrria 0-1 Ballkani, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 07:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.25 | 14.2% | 17.3% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 22.8% | 25.8% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 62.9% | 56.9% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Projected Score
Vushtrria 0–1 Ballkani
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Ballkani
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Ballkani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VushtrriaLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BallkaniLLWLD
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
VushtrriaBallkani
16.7Attack33.3
23.3Defence66.7
10.0Form43.3
20.7Power49.7
0.48xG1.46