GGOALVIO

Croatia · First NL · 8/18/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Vukovar are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Zrinski Jurjevac are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Zrinski Jurjevac hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the First NL, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VukovarLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 2/2
Zrinski JurjevacW

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
VukovarZrinski Jurjevac
56.6Attack53.5
63.6Defence81.8
58.6Form81.8
60.6Power73.6
0.86xG1.11
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