Vukovarvs
HNK Cibalia
COMPLETEDCroatia · Cup · 9/9/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vukovar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vukovar 1-0 HNK Cibalia
Original prediction
Vukovar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.5% | 44.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.2% | 25.8% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.3% | 30.1% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Vukovar
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Vukovar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VukovarDLWWD
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
HNK CibaliaDDDWW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
VukovarHNK Cibalia
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
88.7Power59.5
2.48xG1.82