Vukovarvs
HNK Cibalia
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/5/2026, 1:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vukovar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vukovar 1-1 HNK Cibalia
Original prediction
Vukovar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.6% | 37.7% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.5% | 29.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 26.9% | 33.0% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Vukovar
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Vukovar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VukovarLWWDL
GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HNK CibaliaDDWWL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VukovarHNK Cibalia
66.7Attack0.0
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.17xG1.16