GGOALVIO

Croatia · First NL · 9/2/2023, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vukovar · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Vukovar are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while HNK Cibalia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vukovar hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.2% in the First NL, while Vukovar holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vukovar

Probability

68.2%

Model confidence

68.2%

Vukovar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VukovarWWLLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
HNK CibaliaWDWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
VukovarHNK Cibalia
56.6Attack37.4
63.6Defence42.4
58.6Form37.4
60.6Power41.0
2.21xG0.70
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