Vukovarvs
Dubrava Zagreb
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 10/17/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vukovar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vukovar 3-2 Dubrava Zagreb
Original prediction
Vukovar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.6% | 41.8% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.6% | 27.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 32.8% | 30.6% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Vukovar
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Vukovar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VukovarWLLLW
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dubrava ZagrebLLWDW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VukovarDubrava Zagreb
52.4Attack29.2
38.1Defence62.5
47.6Form33.3
48.0Power44.6
1.27xG0.98