Vukovarvs
Dinamo Zagreb U21
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/2/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vukovar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vukovar 2-6 Dinamo Zagreb U21
Original prediction
Vukovar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.9% | 48.3% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.4% | 27.3% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.86 | 18.7% | 24.4% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Vukovar
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Vukovar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50