Vukovarvs
Dinamo Zagreb
COMPLETEDCroatia · Cup · 10/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vukovar 0-4 Dinamo Zagreb
Original prediction
Dinamo Zagreb
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 14.12 | 6.4% | 32.7% | 26.3 pts |
| Draw | 7.55 | 11.9% | 22.2% | 10.3 pts |
| Away | 1.11 | 81.7% | 45.1% | -36.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-36.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Zagreb
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Dinamo Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20