Vukovarvs
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 10/24/2026, 10:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bsk Bijelo Brdo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vukovar 0-2 Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Original prediction
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.7% | 35.0% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.9% | 28.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.4% | 36.4% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Bsk Bijelo Brdo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20