Vítkovicevs
Slovácko II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vítkovice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vítkovice 1-0 Slovácko II
Original prediction
Vítkovice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.8% | 36.5% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.5% | 27.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 32.7% | 36.4% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Vítkovice
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Vítkovice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20