Vítkovicevs
Karviná II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vítkovice · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Vítkovice 1-0 Karviná II, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Vítkovice 0-4 Karviná II
Original prediction
Vítkovice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.0% | 58.1% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.0% | 24.1% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.73 | 18.9% | 17.8% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Projected Score
Vítkovice 1–0 Karviná II
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Vítkovice
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Vítkovice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VítkoviceLWDLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Karviná IILDLLW
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VítkoviceKarviná II
36.4Attack45.5
72.7Defence36.4
48.5Form33.3
53.5Power40.9
1.56xG0.67