Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Artis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vítkovice 0-3 Artis
Original prediction
Artis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.75 | 13.4% | 36.4% | 23.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.06 | 17.8% | 23.6% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 68.8% | 40.0% | -28.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Artis
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Artis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VítkoviceDWWWD
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ArtisLLWWL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
VítkoviceArtis
88.9Attack66.7
88.9Defence100.0
77.8Form100.0
80.3Power88.7
2.21xG1.57