Västra Frölundavs
Åstorp
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Västra Frölunda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Västra Frölunda 2-0 Åstorp
Original prediction
Västra Frölunda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.6% | 55.3% | 14.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.1% | 19.8% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.2% | 24.9% | -10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Västra Frölunda
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Västra Frölunda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00