Västra Frölundavs
Onsala
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Västra Frölunda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Västra Frölunda 3-1 Onsala
Original prediction
Västra Frölunda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.3% | 60.3% | 13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.9% | 18.8% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 28.8% | 20.9% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Västra Frölunda
Probability
60.3%
Model confidence
60.3%
Västra Frölunda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60