Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VSK Århus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VSK Århus 1-0 Skive
Original prediction
VSK Århus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.3% | 44.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 28.6% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.7% | 27.2% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
VSK Århus
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
VSK Århus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VSK ÅrhusDDLLD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SkiveWDDLL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VSK ÅrhusSkive
54.2Attack45.8
79.2Defence54.2
62.5Form45.8
65.7Power50.9
1.66xG0.76