GGOALVIO

Denmark · 3. Division · 8/5/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

VSK Århus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

VSK Århus are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWLW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Silkeborg KFUM are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and VSK Århus hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the 3. Division, while VSK Århus holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

VSK Århus

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

VSK Århus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VSK ÅrhusWWLW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/0.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Silkeborg KFUMWDWDL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VSK ÅrhusSilkeborg KFUM
53.1Attack49.0
57.3Defence49.0
50.0Form43.8
54.0Power48.9
1.78xG1.13
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