GGOALVIO

Denmark · 3. Division · 8/19/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

VSK Århus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

VSK Århus are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while SfB-Oure are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and VSK Århus hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 41.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the 3. Division, while VSK Århus holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

VSK Århus

Probability

60.7%

Model confidence

60.7%

VSK Århus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VSK ÅrhusWWDWW

GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SfB-OureLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.67/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
VSK ÅrhusSfB-Oure
53.1Attack39.6
57.3Defence41.7
50.0Form37.5
54.0Power41.1
2.07xG0.90
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