Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VSK Århus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: VSK Århus 0-0 Naestved, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
VSK Århus 2-2 Naestved
Original prediction
VSK Århus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.2% | 36.7% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.9% | 30.3% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.0% | 33.0% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
VSK Århus 0–0 Naestved
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
VSK Århus
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
VSK Århus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VSK ÅrhusDLLWD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NaestvedWDDDD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
VSK ÅrhusNaestved
47.2Attack44.4
66.7Defence63.9
52.8Form52.8
56.5Power56.3
1.10xG0.81