Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyngby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VSK Århus 0-2 Lyngby
Original prediction
Lyngby
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.53 | 10.7% | 37.0% | 26.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.60 | 19.8% | 23.6% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 69.6% | 39.4% | -30.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-30.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Lyngby
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Lyngby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VSK ÅrhusLDWWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LyngbyWDWLD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
VSK ÅrhusLyngby
100.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power80.3
2.55xG1.71