Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VSK Århus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VSK Århus 0-0 FA 2000
Original prediction
VSK Århus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.3% | 62.5% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.7% | 20.5% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 5.03 | 18.1% | 17.1% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
VSK Århus
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
VSK Århus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VSK ÅrhusWWWWW
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FA 2000LLLWW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VSK ÅrhusFA 2000
83.3Attack41.7
91.7Defence25.0
100.0Form25.0
92.9Power34.2
2.74xG0.88