Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VSK Århus · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: VSK Århus 2-0 Brabrand, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
VSK Århus 0-2 Brabrand
Original prediction
VSK Århus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.4% | 50.3% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.9% | 25.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.7% | 23.8% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Projected Score
VSK Århus 2–0 Brabrand
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
VSK Århus
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
VSK Århus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VSK ÅrhusWDDLL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BrabrandDLWDL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
VSK ÅrhusBrabrand
51.9Attack37.0
81.5Defence33.3
66.7Form22.2
67.5Power33.3
2.38xG0.55