Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VSK Århus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VSK Århus 2-2 B 93
Original prediction
VSK Århus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.3% | 49.5% | 16.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.9% | 24.5% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 39.8% | 26.0% | -13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
VSK Århus
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
VSK Århus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VSK ÅrhusLLDWW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
B 93DDWLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VSK ÅrhusB 93
55.6Attack50.0
88.9Defence50.0
72.2Form44.4
72.3Power48.3
1.80xG0.90