Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vrchovina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vsetín 2-2 Vrchovina
Original prediction
Vrchovina
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.5% | 33.8% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.3% | 26.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.3% | 39.3% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Vrchovina
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Vrchovina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VsetínWWLLW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
VrchovinaLLLWW
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
VsetínVrchovina
16.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
10.2Power47.8
1.34xG1.66