3. liga - MSFL3. liga - MSFL
Sunday, 2 August 202616:00Updated today
Vsetín

Vsetín

Home
L
vs
16:00
Sigma Olomouc II

Sigma Olomouc II

Away
L
Stadion Tyrsovka
GoalVio prediction
52% confidence
Sigma Olomouc II(52%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Vsetín
23%
Draw
26%
Sigma Olomouc II
52%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Vsetín
34
Sigma Olomouc II
34
Defence
Vsetín
27
Sigma Olomouc II
27
Momentum
Vsetín
0
Sigma Olomouc II
0
Danger (xG)
Vsetín
0.90
Sigma Olomouc II
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.23 xG for Vsetín and 2.46 xG for Sigma Olomouc II — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Vsetín holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Vsetín's Attack Score (34) exceeds Sigma Olomouc II's Defensive Stability (27), and Sigma Olomouc II's attack (34) similarly tests Vsetín's defence (27). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.69 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Vsetín's Attack Score (34) vs Sigma Olomouc II's Defensive Stability (27) and Sigma Olomouc II's attack (34) vs Vsetín's defence (27) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (Vsetín)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Sigma Olomouc II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Vsetín)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Sigma Olomouc II)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
VsetínVsetín
L
Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II
LWD

Probability breakdown

52% confidence
Vsetín23%
Draw26%
Sigma Olomouc II52%

Sigma Olomouc II leads with 52% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Sigma Olomouc II Favoured — Model Projects 1-2

Vsetín host Sigma Olomouc II in 3. liga - MSFL. Vsetín have recorded DLLLLW in recent matches while Sigma Olomouc II arrive with a run of WWWLLL. These sides have met 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.46 expected goals for Sigma Olomouc II against 1.23 for Vsetín — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 📈 Recent Form Sigma Olomouc II arrive in better recent form — 3 wins from 10 matches (WWWLLL) against Vsetín's 1. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Vsetín have averaged 1.26 goals per game recently while Sigma Olomouc II have managed 2.21. Sigma Olomouc II have been the more prolific side — a factor the model weighs in its Sigma Olomouc II win projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

Sigma Olomouc II are generating a dominant xG advantage — 2.46 projected against 1.23 for Vsetín. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 1.23 is the clearest signal in the model that Sigma Olomouc II are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Sigma Olomouc II are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Vsetín

Vsetín

L
vs Unie Hlubina
16 May 2026
12
Sigma Olomouc II

Sigma Olomouc II

L
@ Tychy 71
11 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Třinec
10 Jun 2026
31
D
vs Vítkovice
17 May 2026
33

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Vsetín vs Sigma Olomouc II?

GoalVio's model predicts Sigma Olomouc II to win with 52% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Vsetín vs Sigma Olomouc II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Vsetín vs Sigma Olomouc II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vsetín vs Sigma Olomouc II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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