Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vsetín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vsetín 1-0 Havířov
Original prediction
Vsetín
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.3% | 37.3% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.1% | 26.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.5% | 35.9% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Vsetín
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Vsetín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VsetínLLWLL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HavířovLLWLD
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
VsetínHavířov
16.7Attack0.0
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
10.2Power15.3
1.54xG1.54