GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Westfalen · 8/20/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vreden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Vreden are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while SG Wattenscheid 09 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vreden hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 38.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the Oberliga - Westfalen, while Vreden holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vreden

Probability

62.0%

Model confidence

62.0%

Vreden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VredenL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
SG Wattenscheid 09LLDDW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
VredenSG Wattenscheid 09
52.9Attack45.1
52.9Defence32.4
49.0Form33.3
52.0Power38.6
2.45xG1.15
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