Vrchovinavs
Karviná II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 8/29/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vrchovina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vrchovina 1-0 Karviná II
Original prediction
Vrchovina
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.1% | 39.9% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.8% | 27.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 27.1% | 33.2% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Vrchovina
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Vrchovina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60