Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vrchovina · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vrchovina 2-0 Havířov
Original prediction
Vrchovina
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.4% | 36.4% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.8% | 28.9% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 32.7% | 34.7% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Vrchovina
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Vrchovina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VrchovinaLLLWD
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
HavířovWWDLD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VrchovinaHavířov
33.3Attack30.8
28.2Defence46.2
35.9Form28.2
36.0Power36.3
1.17xG1.22