Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vrbovec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vrbovec 4-1 Daruvar
Original prediction
Vrbovec
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.7% | 38.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.1% | 25.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.2% | 35.1% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Vrbovec
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Vrbovec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VrbovecNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
DaruvarNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
VrbovecDaruvar
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
2.03xG1.73