Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Vratimov are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Šumperk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00