Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Vratimov are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Šumperk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00