Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stonava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Vratimov are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Stonava are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stonava hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Stonava holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stonava
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Stonava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60