Vratimovvs
Pustá Polom
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie F · 10/17/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vratimov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vratimov 4-3 Pustá Polom
Original prediction
Vratimov
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 62.2% | 46.8% | -15.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 20.6% | 24.6% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 5.23 | 17.1% | 28.6% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Vratimov
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Vratimov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20