Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vratimov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Vratimov are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Krnov are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vratimov hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Vratimov holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vratimov
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Vratimov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40