Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vratimov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Vratimov are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Frýdlant are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vratimov hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the 4. liga - Divizie F, favouring Vratimov with 8.1% confidence, a 77% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vratimov
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
8.1%
Vratimov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20