Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vratimov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Vratimov are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Frýdlant are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vratimov hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.2% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Vratimov holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vratimov
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Vratimov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20