Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vratimov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vratimov 2-1 Břidličná
Original prediction
Vratimov
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 66.1% | 52.6% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.80 | 18.9% | 23.6% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 6.08 | 14.9% | 23.9% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Vratimov
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Vratimov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VratimovWWWWL
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BřidličnáLWLLD
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VratimovBřidličná
66.7Attack0.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form0.0
56.2Power21.5
2.13xG1.27