Vranov nad Topľouvs
Dukla Banská Bystrica
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Cup · 10/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dukla Banská Bystrica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vranov nad Topľou 0-2 Dukla Banská Bystrica
Original prediction
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 10:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11.66 | 7.7% | 28.8% | 21.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.16 | 14.6% | 22.4% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 1.16 | 77.7% | 48.8% | -28.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Dukla Banská Bystrica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20